Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 95.230939 108.997566 125.154541 145.813373 171.974561 204.647814 249.638556
2024-11-03 79.636952 97.534994 120.922122 154.901076 205.265635 281.518922 416.312883
2024-11-10 74.471722 95.977118 126.530985 175.939821 260.542972 416.699100 790.639567
2024-11-17 65.906785 87.521102 119.818782 175.728148 281.376394 507.882971 1219.967450
2024-11-24 59.244706 80.475195 113.454239 173.730955 297.475280 601.697848 1884.603154
2024-12-01 53.711306 74.239316 107.105718 169.853652 307.944443 692.164727 2918.093094
2024-12-08 49.774500 69.933179 103.150347 169.326987 325.632936 823.710859 5272.488321
2024-12-15 46.674551 66.566009 100.225996 170.045253 346.866449 998.273267 11901.174635
2024-12-22 43.065120 61.972997 94.488513 163.636879 346.738662 1091.821759 24137.400237
2024-12-29 41.676147 60.940243 95.040229 170.947542 389.715961 1484.050605 822746.981465
2025-01-05 38.943821 57.347927 90.347617 165.344856 390.281282 1641.758625 NaN
2025-01-12 37.370102 55.631663 89.036075 167.475124 418.470713 2103.819571 NaN
2025-01-19 35.040220 52.614891 85.280048 164.049940 430.227356 2561.183403 NaN
2025-01-26 34.235560 52.289854 86.932625 175.137149 510.215392 4722.776915 NaN
2025-02-02 34.526555 53.983203 93.015032 200.556417 692.353282 19169.120957 NaN
2025-02-09 32.875463 51.839982 90.511611 200.300438 741.989267 43999.082384 NaN
2025-02-16 31.257021 49.619207 87.551734 197.876110 778.059907 127926.887115 NaN
2025-02-23 29.658014 47.312775 84.134521 193.177156 795.532717 567312.300549 NaN
2025-03-02 28.445855 45.676876 82.077753 192.539672 846.285080 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 27.422126 44.337704 80.560364 193.409120 915.016020 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 26.025161 42.158738 76.836249 185.664400 897.159121 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 25.580200 41.871444 77.619029 194.501822 1064.582419 NaN NaN
2025-03-30 24.413916 40.034460 74.433853 187.725784 1051.530208 NaN NaN